Tracker · US science policy

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A New Golden Age

Opened 21 July 2026 · last updated 24 October 2026

The question this tracker follows

Will the US “Golden Age” science strategy translate into funded reality, and can metascience survive being adopted by one government?

The OSTP report reads as a metascience document wrapped in a national-security frame. In October it moved from paper to practice: agencies launched their first funding experiments, and the US took the agenda abroad in the Kyoto Vision. The money is still contested, and the deeper stake remains whether the reform agenda gets branded as partisan and discarded.

Where it stands

Timeline

  1. 28 May 2026
    OMB proposes the Uniform Guidance overhaul: political pre-issuance review of grants, peer review made “advisory”, open-access costs disallowed.
  2. 13 Jul 2026
    Comment period closes: about 95% of some 497,000 comments opposed the rule.
  3. 21 Jul 2026
    OSTP releases Science: A New Golden Age (Kratsios), paired with the FY2028 R&D Priorities Memorandum (Kratsios and OMB’s Vought). Agencies over $3bn get 90 days to deliver action plans.
  4. 24–30 Jul 2026
    Reception splits: Marblestone (“additions, not a replacement”), Donovan and Stand Up for Science (“a golden age for corporations”), Science/AAAS (“missed opportunity”), STAT (mixed).
  5. 2–3 Aug 2026
    A bipartisan Senate stopgap moves to block political control over grants.
  6. 4–6 Aug 2026
    Europe weighs in: Nature editorial (“what’s missing”) and Kaare Nielsen’s Science|Business viewpoint (“Europe needs a new scientific contract”).
  7. Sep 2026
    NSF memorandum “NSF leadership in a new golden age of science” sets a goal of doubling research productivity per federal dollar by 2036.
  8. 10 Sep 2026
    NSF announces an Office of Metascience, later led by Jason Gallo, to test funding and review mechanisms and publish the results.
  9. 4 Oct 2026
    Kyoto Vision for a Golden Age of Science: the US and 16 countries, including Germany, Japan, Korea and the UK, endorse a one-page statement valuing “a deliberate portfolio of funding mechanisms” and “dedicated metascience capabilities in our governments”. No Nordic country signs. Germany’s ministry calls it non-binding.
  10. 8 Oct 2026
    White House science summit: first experiments at NSF’s Office of Metascience and at at NSF, NASA, DOE and NIH, an X-Labs Consortium with over $300m in partner commitments, and an NSF–UKRI statement on an international network of metascience units.
  11. 8–9 Oct 2026
    Science|Business reports concern after Europeans endorse the agenda; R&D World notes no money or projects are named and early evidence on golden tickets is mixed.
  12. 13 Oct 2026
    Asterisk: the OSTP–OMB budget memo matters more than the report, and leaves out replication and reproducibility entirely.
  13. 16 Oct 2026
    The Association of American Universities welcomes the initiatives but warns that funding cuts, slowed grants, falling PhD admissions and visa policy could prevent their success; much of the announced money is state or private.
  14. 16 Oct 2026
    Stephen Curry (RoRI), “Don’t be dazzled by fools’ gold”: the Kyoto Vision is innocuous, the report behind it nostalgic and dismissive of universities; answers should come from plural perspectives and Sarah de Rijcke’s principles of academic freedom.
  15. Oct 2026
    New Science’s report on the NSF (Matt Faherty, 31 interviews) backs most of the Golden Age report but argues that most reforms cannot yet be judged without a way to measure research quality, and warns against political missions as the organising principle of the whole system.
  16. 19 Oct 2026
    Agency action plans were due under the budget memo (90 days from 21 July); none has been made public so far as this tracker has seen. The Economist profiles the private institutions (Convergent Research, Episteme) and NSF’s $1.5bn X-labs as metascience ideas move outside universities.
  17. 20 Oct 2026
    Vinton Cerf and France Córdova (Physics Today) argue for sustaining public institutions alongside new partnerships and propose an annual forum on the whole architecture of science.
  18. 22 Oct 2026
    Tyler Cowen interviews Michael Kratsios (New York Times): grants ran with “no metrics whatsoever”; budget totals are a “very misguided” focus; political appointees should oversee whether review is “meritorious” but not pick grants; a four-year PhD with a year in industry. Cowen presses on universities as a “holding tank” for dormant ideas, immigration and concentration of power.
  19. 3 Nov 2026 · upcoming
    RoRI’s META-MOMENT report on national metascience efforts in 21 countries.
  20. FY2027 · open
    The appropriations fight: the request cuts NSF by more than half; the House has proposed 20%. Status of the OMB grant rule still to confirm.

The response landscape

The coverage falls into clear camps: reform insiders giving a bounded endorsement; critics reading it as an alibi for cutting universities; delivery sceptics; the American right (endorsement and “not far enough”); and European voices on openness, academic freedom and plural perspectives. The revealing cut is how each treats the word “metascience”, and the finding that almost no one treats it as a distributed, system-wide capability.

The OSTP report Science: A New Golden Age (Kratsios, 21 July 2026) drew reactions from reform insiders, critics, funders, unions, European policy circles and the American right. Read across them, the responses disagree less about the report than about what “metascience” even means.

The report itself

  • Science: A New Golden Age White House / OSTP · Jul 21

    The 123-page report to the president, with the operative FY2028 R&D Priorities Memorandum (Kratsios + OMB's Vought) as its annex, directing agencies over $3bn to report in 90 days how they will reprioritise toward named security and technology fields. See also the release.

Reform community / metascience insiders

Broadly supportive, but with a boundary.

  • Adam Marblestone (Convergent Research) X · Jul 24

    Endorses the mechanisms but draws the line: metascience innovations are “game-changing additions to America's scientific core — not a replacement for it,” and “ambitious new models depend on stable support for science overall, university & academic research, independent peer review, and recruiting top scientific talent from anywhere in the world.”

  • FAS: What Does it Take to Deliver a New Golden Age? FAS · Jul 30

    A “timely, constructive contribution… on the role of metascience”; the vision is serious, delivery is everything, and the OMB rule cuts against it.

  • Making progress on metascience Seeking Scientific Revolutions

    Reform-community engagement with the report's metascience agenda.

Critical: good ideas, bad-faith execution

The reform vocabulary is legitimating cuts and control.

  • A “Golden Age” for Corporations Tech Policy Press · Jul 29

    Cole Donovan (Stand Up for Science): a “bad faith argument,” “does not seem like a document that is realistic”; the reallocation benefits industry and AI firms. See the org statement.

  • A missed opportunity, critics say Science/AAAS · Jul

    Neal Lane calls the report “disappointing”; the administration's own policies make it a missed opportunity. See also the “calcified system” explainer and the budget “slasher sequel.”

  • Science manifesto draws mixed reaction STAT · Jul 24

    A split verdict across the research community.

  • Critics deride the ‘golden age’ report Physics World  ·  An honest look inside Big Think (Siegel) · ~Jul 30
  • AAUP (Todd Wolfson) & AFT (Randi Weingarten) Joint statement · Jul 23

    Concede “our research enterprise faces serious challenges,” but the plan “robs universities of research money and funnels it to artificial intelligence and private companies”; “reforms must strengthen scientific independence — not weaken it.” Also: it “does nothing to make anyone healthier or safer.”

The “bypass universities” line

Reform as cover for defunding the university.

  • What Europeans need to know Science|Business (Matthews) · Jul 30

    Good-faith fix or smokescreen; carries the worry the metascience movement is used to justify punishing universities, with Jean-Claude Burgelman (“bypass the power of universities”) and EU science counsellor Florent Bernard (“solely serves private interests”).

  • Billions toward AI, away from colleges Wall Street Journal

    A third independent attestation (with Tech Policy Press and AAUP/AFT) of the university-to-AI reallocation. See also European researchers' alarm over cooperation.

Will it survive? Delivery & pushback

Announced is not the same as enacted.

Right-of-center: endorsement and “not far enough”

  • The Promise of a New Golden Age David Randall, NAS · Aug 4

    “I approve of Science: A New Golden Age and endorse it.” Reads it through the reproducibility / “gold standard science” lens (the irreproducibility crisis, AI fraud-detection, unwinding the “grant-getting” culture), but wants “getting the science right” before treating government as “an efficient technology venture capitalist.”

  • The Science Abundance Gospel J. Scott Turner, NAS · Aug 4

    Welcomes the diagnosis but argues the report will fail like Bush's 1945 report because it keeps the “scientific abundance gospel”; his fix is to “close the NSF and shutter the NIH's extramural programs.”

European responses

  • What's missing from the White House plan Nature editorial · Aug 4

    A real golden age needs open borders and proper funding for public health, social science and the humanities, alongside technology and engineering.

  • Europe needs a new scientific contract Kaare Nielsen (Pomus), Science|Business · Aug 6

    Accept the report's diagnosis that science has become strategic; reject its prescription. Europe should build the capacity to translate discovery without importing the politicisation.

Contest-of-systems / comparative strategy

Neutral explainers & institutional summaries

The Danish seedbed (predates the report)

September–October: from report to practice, and abroad

The agenda goes international and the first experiments start. The responses turn to co-optation, academic freedom and what the binding documents leave out.

  • Is metascience being co-opted? Science|Business · Sep 24

    James Wilsdon warns of a “convenient hook” and a “political land grab”; others argue researchers should report what they find regardless of who uses it.

  • Kyoto Vision for a Golden Age of Science White House · Oct 4

    The US and 16 countries endorse a one-page statement valuing “a deliberate portfolio of funding mechanisms” and “dedicated metascience capabilities in our governments”. No Nordic country signs. Germany’s research ministry stresses it is non-binding and that research freedom is non-negotiable.

  • Concern after Europeans endorse US science agenda Science|Business · Oct 8

    Germany’s DFG and Rectors’ Conference fear “new institutional models” could serve an agenda that calls universities “legacy institutions”.

  • Kratsios at the Golden Age summit White House OSTP · Oct 8

    Names the first experiments: golden tickets and distributed review at NSF’s new Office of Metascience, double-blind review at NASA, golden tickets at DOE and a $174m NIH reproducibility initiative (fact sheet). NSF and UKRI plan an international network of metascience units.

  • NSF looks to UK experiments R&D World · Oct 9

    No money or projects are named yet, and early evidence on golden tickets is mixed.

  • The overlooked memo that could reshape federal science Asterisk (Buck, Khanduja & Jain) · Oct 13

    The OSTP–OMB budget memo matters more than the report because OMB controls the money. It carries long grants, prizes, new institutions and metascience offices into action plans, and never mentions replication or reproducibility.

  • Don’t be dazzled by fools’ gold Stephen Curry, RoRI · Oct 16

    The Kyoto Vision is innocuous, the report behind it nostalgic and dismissive of universities. He calls the German Rectors’ reply tin-eared and points to Sarah de Rijcke’s six principles of academic freedom and to plural perspectives.

Analysis

How “metascience” is treated

The same word is doing very different work across the responses. Seven readings:

A
Additive capability, with a boundary. Marblestone, FAS in part. Yes to the mechanisms, but as additions that depend on a healthy base of funding, universities, peer review and talent.
B
A bureaucratic unit. The report itself. “An empowered metascience unit in each agency… with authority to run controlled experiments on review and funding.” Metascience as an org box.
C
An alibi. Donovan, Burgelman, Bernard, AAUP/AFT. Reform vocabulary legitimating cuts and political control; the units predate this administration, so the novelty is branding.
D
An over-reaching label. Schneider, Degn, Norn & Bloch. Defending the established “research on research” tradition against a faddish umbrella term.
E
Absent / subsumed. Atlantic Council, CSIS, Kaare's viewpoint, largely Nature. The idea is present, but the word barely appears; folded into “innovation-system reform” or “a new scientific contract.”
F
A value-for-money evaluation tool. McIvor. Named but narrow: the function governments use to “get the most bang for the buck,” distinct from the mechanisms themselves.
G
Reproducibility / rigor reform. NAS: Randall, Turner. The original meta-research sense (gold-standard science, fraud detection, rigour over grant-getting), distinct from the institutional-design sense the reform community uses.

The finding: almost no one treats metascience as a distributed systemic capability: the science system's capacity to keep reforming how it funds, organises and evaluates itself. That definition is the unoccupied position, and it reconciles the rest: mechanisms (A) and units (B) are instruments of the capability, co-optation (C) is what concentrating it does, the label fight (D) and the rigour-vs-design split (G) are symptoms of no shared definition, and the macro blindness (E) is why the debate talks past itself. Marblestone reaches the same conclusion without the vocabulary: additions, not a replacement. The October responses sharpen it: Asterisk shows the binding memo keeps the mechanisms and drops reproducibility, and Curry asks for plural perspectives. A capability spread across the whole system would hold both.

What to watch

My reading

David Hilmer Rex

The US now runs real funding experiments, and they deserve to be watched closely. Experiments are useful. The test is whether they sit inside work on the system as a whole, with secure basic funding, research careers, reliable findings and academic freedom, or stand in for it while budgets shrink.

Metascience is only “co-opted” if the field lets one office define it. You can capture an office. A capability spread across every university and funder is much harder to capture.

This tracker follows the US Science: A New Golden Age agenda from July 2026. It stays live until the appropriations question resolves. Updated 25 October 2026. Updates are drafted with an AI agent from linked sources and reviewed by David Hilmer Rex. Corrections and new sources are welcome: davidhilmerrex@gmail.com.
Cite as: David Hilmer Rex, “A New Golden Age”, Metascience trackers, 25 October 2026, https://davidhilmerrex.nu/metascience/a-new-golden-age.html.